Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Women involvement in Informal Cross border Trade in East African Community: Motivating Factors - Juniper Publishers

Technical & Scientific Research - Juniper Publishers

Abstract

Informal Cross Border Trade (ICBT) is the most fluid sector of trade in Sub-Saharan Africa, and it compares very favorably in efficiency with formal trade in the continent. Reminiscent the rest of the World, women accounts for the highest number of those involved in ICBT in Sub-Saharan region. In East African Community, women accounts for over 60% of informal cross border traders in spite of the efforts to formalize trade. This calls for the study on examination of the drivers of women involvement in informal cross border trade. This paper is based on documented literature to reach a logical conclusion. The scope of the study covers the traditional East African countries; Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania on the borders; Namanga, Isebania and Busia. This paper found out that. Women are driven into informal cross border trade due to two major factors; cultural factors and restrictive measures. The paper concluded that women are involved into cross border trade due to Cultural, social and economic factors. It recommends an empirical study on these areas to understand Women involvement into informal cross border trade in East African Community. Additionally, policy makers should look into possible ways of addressing the barriers to women involvement formal cross border.

Keywords: Women, Drivers, Informal, Border, Trade, Gender, Restrictive, Cultural, Social and Economic

Abbreviations: ICBT: Informal Cross Border Trade, EAC: East African Community; TTC: Trade Transactional Cost

Introduction

African leaders at independence recognized that economic cooperation and integration among African countries was indispensable in the achievement of accelerated transformation and sustained development. In 1980, the Organization of African Union (currently AU) Extraordinary Summit agreed on need to strength intra-African trade through for regional economic blocks. Later in 1991 they would form African Economic Organization under the Lagos Plan of Action which was meant to spearhead formalization of cross border trade within the regional economic blocks [1]. The idea was that a more formal cross border trade among various sub-regional economic communities was to act as a catalyst to improved Gross domestic product and human development Africa [2].

A reality check in Africa since 1980’s however reveals that cross border trade among various sub-regional economic blocks is primarily informal accounting for 60% of intra-trade and 40% GDP (FAO, 2017). Informal cross border trade directly or indirectly escapes from the regulatory framework and often goes unrecorded or incorrectly recorded onto official national statistics of the trading countries [3]. Analysis of several studies reveals that ICBT is quite active even in developed economies and advanced regional economic communities. In Eastern Europe which borders European Union at the Finnish-Russian border in Eastern Karelia, mainly in the towns of Niirala, Tohmaja¨rvi and Sortavala; at the Polish-Belarusian border in Białystok, Kuznica and Brest; at the Polish-Ukrainian border in Przemys´l and Zˇovkva; and at the Ukrainian-Romanian border in Sighetu Marmatiei and Solotvina informal cross border trade has been going on for many years despite the existing regulation and economic data shows that informal trade still accounts for 19% of the GDP [4].

Moreover, in America, there is a strong evidence of informal cross border trade going on between the border of Mexico on the Northern part and United States in South Texas border notably between Ciudad Juarez and El Paso border case. Though no empirical calculation has been made for informality in South Texas, the best estimates suggest that at least 20% of the production end of economic activity (by value) in the region is undertaken via informal means [5]. Scholars have also noted that Informal cross border trade (ICBT) between Entikong (Indonesia) and Tebedu (Malaysia) has existed for hundreds of years before the formation of the concept of state-nations in both countries and corresponding to this, neglecting the inflation rate, the size of informal trading is approximately at 33% from formal trading. It reveals a significant proportion of informal trading in border area, particularly in Entikong in Malaysia with good traded primarily agricultural [6].

Middle East and North Africa States have not been spared either with problems of cross border trade informalities. Although traditionally caricatured as a region with thick economic borders, where the official flow of goods is severely restricted through an array of arbitrary trade barriers, the Middle East and North African border’s regions remain active zones of informal economic exchange. Although there is no region-wide estimate for the size of informal border trade, country-level studies indicate that such trade is both sizeable and significant across the region. A 2013 study on Tunisia found that informal cross-border trade was equivalent to more than half of its official trade with Libya, and more than its entire official trade with Algeria [7].

Similarly in Iran, the size of smuggling in 2007 was estimated to lie in the broad range of 6-25% of total trade [8]. Meanwhile a study for the Algeria-Mali corridor suggests that formal trade pales in comparison to the thriving informal trade across the border [9]. An interesting observation made by United Nations is that for all ICBT activities, women are the dominant players particularly in Africa, Latin America and Asia [10]. Surveys have shown that women constitute between 70 to 80% of people that are engaged in informal cross - border trade [11] dealing in all sorts of merchandize while others offer services. This confirms Hoyman (1987) study which noted that the involvement of women in informal work was nearly doubled compared with men since 9175.

In Sub-Saharan African many women are involved in informal intra-trade cross border trade [10]. Within the Southern Africa Development Cooperation, women comprise about 70 % of those involved in ICBT while in Western and Central Africa nearly 60% of informal traders are women [12]. In Zimbabwe, women constitute 85 percent of the traders [13]. In the Great Lakes region, Titeca and Kimanuka [14] estimate that 85 percent of small-scale traders involved in ICBT in Goma-Gisenyi (DRC-Rwanda) Bukavu-Cyangugu (DRC-Rwanda) Uvira-Gatumba (DRC-Burundi) and Aru/Ariwara-Arua (DRC-Uganda) borders are Women. Among ECOWAS member states ,women have been reported to be the major players in ICBT at 80 % between Sierra-Leone northern border and Guinea at Gbalamuya and with southern border with Liberia at Gendema (Bo-waterside) facilitated by Chata men (Middlemen) who are powerful than the border officials(Vanessa et.al). In Ghana, cross-border trade has a gender dimension in that women are more actively involved in trading across borders than men and are present at all levels of operation with Togo ,Nigeria and Bukina-Faso [15]. Ousmanou [16] study of ICBT among Central African Economic and Monetary Community members concluded that women were the largest participants in this trade various borders such as Ambam, Abang-Minko’o (Camerron-Gabon), at Limbe and Kousseri (Cameroon-Nigeria) and ,Kye’-Ossi (Equitorial Guinea).

In East Africa Community informal cross border trade has a gender dimension and women are slightly more than Men [17]. The EAC (2019), survey noted that a proportion of informal cross border traders among traditional founders of the block (Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania) are women in spite of the efforts to promote formalization of trade in the region [17].

Informal trade is an integral part and unrecognized component of Africa’s economy which has persisted despite the effort to graft it into formal economy globally [18]. The World Bank recommends that all intra-trade should be formalized for states to realize the existing benefits. However, this is not the case in EAC where informal cross border trade accounts for 40% of intra-trade share with women being the majority participants at more than 80% [19]. The dangers of ICBT to states includes the fact that at times the informal imports present unfair competition to domestic industries, products traded informally are often counterfeit goods sold at lower prices, not subject to import taxes, and simply cheaper than locally manufactured equivalents and also represents a significant revenue loss for governments [12]. Many studies focus on impacts of cross border trade in RECs, others on nature and trends [20] limited analysis have focused on drivers of women into informal cross border trade. This paper therefore intends to examine drivers of women into informal cross border trade between Kenya and her neighboring partner states of Uganda and Tanzania).

Conceptualization of Informal Cross Border Trade

The term informal trade first appeared in a report of the International Labour Organization (1972) and then in an article by Hart [21], an anthropologist who had worked in Ghana and Kenya [22]. Attempts at defining ICBT have not been universally conclusive. However, much thinking has gone into this and not only in the context of Africa but a definition that could be universally applied. Lesser and Moisé-Leeman study [23], construe’s ICBT “as trade in legitimately produced goods and services, which circumvents the regulatory framework set by the government and as such avoiding certain tax and regulatory burdens” [23]. Comparably, Afrika and Ajumbo [12] could not agree less with Lesser and Moisé’s understanding of ICBT by referring to it as “trade in processed or non-processed merchandise which may be legal imports or exports on one side of the border and illicit on the other side and vice-versa, on the account of not having been subjected to statutory border formalities such as customs clearance” [12].

Schneider [24] categorized informal cross border trade in three broader areas that can be practiced by formal or informal traders and companies with varied practices as highlighted in Table 1 This Categorization is helpful in measurability of informal cross border trade. Majority of women informal cross border traders operates under category A, which primarily evades payments of charges, duties, other related transactional costs and regulations prescribed by the government and on account of measurability it is the easiest. Informal cross border trades are.

Informal Cross Border Trade Trends Between Kenya and Her Neibouring Countries of Uganda and Tanzania.

The East African Community (EAC) was founded in 1967, dissolved in 1977, and revived with the Treaty for the Establishment of the East African Community signed in 1999 by Kenya, Uganda and United Republic of Tanzania. Burundi and Rwanda became members in 2007 while South Sudan gained accession in April 2016. Known to be the best performing REC in Africa with 22% intra-trade share, EAC is home to more than 177 million citizens, of which over 22% is urban population, with a land area of 2.5 million square kilometers and a combined Gross Domestic Product of US$ 193 billion (EAC Statistics for 2019). Kenya’s GDP (US$70.5) accounts for almost half of the EAC GDP in 2019, followed by Tanzania (US$47.4) and Uganda (US$25.5). Additionally, the share for intra-trade between these Countries accounts for more than half the total trade shares in the sub-region. In 2018, East African Community trade and investment report showed that the total share of export from Kenya to Uganda accounted 39.5%, while Tanzania was at 19.3%.Similary exports from Uganda to Kenya accounted to 46% while from Tanzania stood at 48% of the total share of export (EAC 2018).

Despite impressive data on the share of export between Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania respectively, a significant proportion of cross border trade is conducted informally at about 40% of the total intra-trade share with women being the major players at around 80% (EAC, 2019). Survey from Uganda in 2018 survey showed that Kenya was Uganda’s main source of informal imports representing 41.6% with goods worth US$ 25.0 million. Similarly, this survey showed some gender dimensions with women being the majority. Meanwhile Busia border was the leading entry point for informal imports with an import bill of US$15.7 million (26.2 percent) with Industrial products/goods like building materials, petroleum products, utensils, beer, and soft drinks constituting the largest informal import from Kenya to Uganda [25]. Correspondingly, Uganda’s Informal export to Kenya represented 27.4 percent of the total informal exports amounting to US$ 150 million in 2018 which seen a marginal reduction from 36.3% in the previous year. Main exported commodities on an informal basis included; Shoes, Clothes (New & used),Fish, Beans ,Maize flour, Sandals, Hair synthetic, Eggs, Bread, Bags, Sorghum grains, Cattle, Polythene bags, Bed sheets, Mattresses, Tomatoes, Goats, Fruits and Suitcases (EAC,2018).

According to Kenya National Bureau of Statistics of 2011(The most recent report on informal cross border trade by Kenya Government), compared to other neighboring countries, Kenya’s total unrecorded informal export trade with Tanzania was highest, valued at Ksh 1,447.4 million, during the second quarter of 2011. The informal exports and informal imports were Ksh 909.8 million and 537.5 million, respectively, in the same period. The industrial products worth Ksh 825.9 million dominated Kenya’s informal exports to Tanzania. The agricultural and industrial import products from Tanzania were valued at Ksh 262.6 million and Ksh 250.3 million, respectively, during the second quarter of 2011. The leading agricultural informal exports to Tanzania were Irish potatoes and coconuts. Under industrial products category, the main exported commodities to Tanzania comprised building materials (paints, iron sheets, cement, steel bars, ceiling boards and nails), utensils, beer, soft drinks, margarine, wire wares, plastic buckets and basins and bread. Dry maize, onions, rice, fruits (oranges) and fish were the main imported agricultural products from Tanzania, under unrecorded informal trade during the second quarter of 2011. The leading imported industrial products from Tanzania were artificial flowers, gas, maize flour and articles of apparel and clothing accessories.

Kenya National Bureau of Statistics pointed out that ICBT propelled by women was highest in Isebania, Namanga and Taveta with informal export amounting to 778 million, 17.3million and 88.4 million accounting to 52%, 1.6% and 6% share of export from Kenya to Tanzania. Similarly, value of imports from Tanzania to Kenya was at 283.2 million - Namanga border, 116.3 million-Taveta Border and 44.4 million-Isebania accounting for 22%, 9% and 3.5% total share of imports [26]. Gor [27], also noted that Kenya’s informal imports from Tanzania are mainly agricultural food commodities and Fish. Maize is the leading item followed by beans, fish and rice. Others include yams, carrots, tomatoes, cassava, cabbages, cow peas, sugar, rice, bananas, millet, maize meal and groundnuts. Kenya’s agricultural food exports to Tanzania include wheat flour, bread, root crops, sugar, rice, bananas, maize meal, milk and coffee. Most agricultural commodities traded are largely influenced by the food items grown around the border and in the neighboring areas.

Most participants in informal cross border trade between Kenya/Uganda and Kenya/Tanzania are individual traders, a large proportion of which are women and micro, small and medium sized enterprises [23]. Women involvement in ICBT consequently has a great contribution in deepening regional trade and integration. Perhaps it will be important to find out what drives these women into informal cross border trade despite adoption of customs union and common market by members of EAC which were meant to ease formalization of trade.

Scope of the Study

This study primarily focused on examining women in informal cross border trade of the traditional East African Community. The borders under the study are; Isebania and Namanga on kenya-Tanzania borders and Busia on Kenya-Uganda border.

Methodology

This is purely desk research which used the already documented literature analytically to arrive at the logical conclusion on the subject under the study.

and Tanzania

Drivers of women involvement into ICBT can be classified into two broad categories: Cultural and Socio-Economic factors as explained below

Cultural Factors

There has been a long tradition of movement of people back and forth in the open border area for purchasing daily consumer goods and for business purposes which is a common phenomenon globally [28]. These have been facilitated by common and understandable language, cultural similarities, family relations and trust across the borders. Cultural relations build strong links and cooperation between neighboring nations. Informal trans-border trade often reflects longstanding relationships and indigenous patterns, which often pre-date colonial and postcolonial state boundaries. Cross-border trade is often conducted among people of the same clan or ethnicity group (e.g., Trans-border trade between Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania). The communities spread along the territorial boundaries share a lot in common both culturally and socially. They speak the same or similar languages, they inter-marry and own land on either side of the borders. This alone provides an incentive to these communities to engage in trade to exploit available opportunities on either side of the border [29].

In addition, East African region, trade has thrived due to Kinship ties among the Luos and Kuria in Mara region of Tanzania and the Southern Western Kenya [30,31]. Similalry, Ayot [32] notes that trade along the Kenya -Uganda borders have always thrived due to the surrounding Teso communities. Women have always used these kingship ties to enhance informal cross border trade in EAC [32]. Communities have always resisted any attempt to stifle their cultures. Parallel trade or ICBT can be seen as a form of indigenous resistance to the imposition of colonial borders and metropolitan economic regulations on traditional African economic and social formations [33].

Socio-Economic

Social economic factors are many and divers as discussed below

ICBT and Household Income

Informal cross-border trade supports livelihoods, particularly in remote rural locations. It creates jobs, especially for vulnerable groups such as poor women and unemployed youth, and it contributes to food security in that it largely features raw agricultural products and processed food items (World Bank, 2014). Moreover, the income they earn from these activities is critical to their households, often making the difference, for example, in whether children go to school or not or seek medication. Women’s income from trading activities is of particular importance to households where the spouse in not employed and helps explain the high tolerance for the difficulties that they face in crossing the border [1].

A few studies have shown the ability of ICBT to reduce poverty or empower women. According to Schneider [24], ICBT is a poverty reduction venture because an increase in women’s incomes tends to collate with greater expenditure on children and family welfare, unlike similar increases in the incomes of men. Furthermore, Gerald and Rauch [34] observed that ICBT provides specific opportunities for the empowerment of women through the development of informal and formal sector retail markets, the creation of employment opportunities and provide access to some capital thereby creating an opportunity to alleviate poverty. These traders play a key role in food security, bringing basic food products from areas where they are relatively cheap to areas where they are in short supply.

Regulatory Barriers

African cross border traders, especially women, are constrained by such issues as high duty and tax levels, poor border facilities, cumbersome bureaucracies, lengthy clearance processes, weak governance at the border, lack of understanding of the rules, and corruption. Moreover, cross-border traders face other difficulties before even reaching the borders, such as problems with registering their businesses, securing capital and assets, or increasing the quality and quantity of the products they trade. According to Limao and Venables (2001), Trade Transaction Costs (TTCs) in intra-Sub-Saharan Africa trade are substantially higher and more obstructive than those for other African countries due to the relatively low efficiency of customs procedures and institutions in the region. In fact, perishable agricultural and food products are often subject to additional trade-related procedures which are meant to ensure compliance with sanitary and phyto-sanitary requirements.

Lesser C and Moisé-Leeman E [23] observed that on average, Africa has the longest customs delays in the world. Consignments commonly experience substantial and unpredictable delays of 30 to 40 days before release from customs control. Not only are the delays long, but they are also costly. Recent OECD in 2003 work also emphasizes that the barriers to formal South-South trade, including intra-regional trade in Sub-Saharan Africa, are often more important than barriers to North- South or North-North (formal) trade (Kowalski and Shepherd, 2006). These lengthy and cumbersome processes lead to a considerable increase in border process fees and clearance times per consignment, hence leading to informal cross border trade.

Additionally, another factor that can further facilitate informal cross-border trade is the weak enforcement of laws and regulations, the arbitrary application of trade-related regulations and the pervasiveness of corruption at borders [35]. On the other hand, the arbitrary application of regulations and the quasi-automatic requirement of facilitation payments bribes (Kitu Kidogo) at some border points might incite some traders to engage in illegal practices such as under- invoicing and/or pass through other, sometimes unofficial routes and crossings, to avoid having to disburse such payments. It has been observed that corruption is still one of the most important obstacles to doing (formal) business on the continent and East Africa in particular [36].

Beyond the costs they bear, regulatory requirements are sometimes also unknown or unclear to traders. In recent surveys and workshops conducted in the East African Community (EAC) and for example, traders have consistently cited lack of information on regulatory requirements (e.g., quality standards, customs documents and procedures and certificates of origin and conformity) as a key constraint towards formal cross-border trade in the region. A recent EAC report for example notes that the lack of information on regulation compels many traders to engage in unrecorded trade across the border (EAC, 2019).

Gender Inequalities

The female predominance in informal cross-border trade is often attributed to women’s time and mobility constraints, as well as to their limited access to productive resources and support systems, making such trade one of the few options available to them to earn a living [37]. Women who are informal traders typically have no or limited primary education and rarely have had previous formal jobs. If married, they seldom receive contributions from their husbands to start business operations. Similarly, gender norms restricting women’s mobility, access, and control over resources and decision-making within the household impact how women participate in ICBT.

In spite of the significant role women play in the economy, they grapple with many disadvantages including limited access to land, financial services, information, technology, and training services, all as a result of gender disparities in rights, the gender-differentiated impacts of neo-liberal restructuring, and the erosion of kin-based support networks through migration [38]. Insufficient attention to gender analysis has meant that women’s contributions and concerns remain too often ignored in financial markets and institutions, trade systems, labour markets, economics as an academic discipline, economic and social infrastructure, taxation and social security systems, as well as in families and households. These factors are enables for women involvement into ICBT [39-45].

Summary of Findings

The paper founded that women are the major players involved into informal cross border trade. Women are driven into informal cross border trade due to cultural reasons like historically shared border areas, common language and kinship ties which have deepen trade links. It is noted also that the desire to reduce poverty and improve household income to support livelihood e.g., food, education and medication have pushed women into informal cross border trade. Moreover, restrictive measures such issues as high duty and tax levels, poor border facilities, cumbersome bureaucracies, lengthy clearance processes, weak governance at the border, lack of understanding of the rules, and corruption facilitate women participation into ICBT. Finally, gender inequality notably lacks proper education, denial of property rights which can be used to credit, housekeeping roles, inadequate information and restrictive gender norms have limited women’s involvement into formal cross border trade [46-50].

Conclusion and Recommendations

Women have become so synonymous with informal cross border trade. This paper concluded that the drivers of women into informal cross border trade are but not limited to:

• Common and understandable language, cultural ties, family relations and trust across the borders which have built strong trade links;

• Ability of ICBT to help in improving household income aimed at supporting livelihood and alleviating poverty;

• Gender inequality which has denied women socio-economic opportunities thereby pushing them to ICBT and,

• Restrictive measures increase Trade Transactional Cost (TTC).

In conclusion women are involved in cross border trade due to Cultural, social, and economic factors. The paper recommends that an empirical study involving field visit should be done to widely understand Women involvement into informal cross border trade in East African Community. Additionally, policy makers should look into possible ways of addressing the barriers to women involvement formal cross border [51,52].

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Tuesday, February 20, 2024

The Role of ‘’Artificial Intelligence’’ in Chemistry Examining the Strategy of ‘’Glaser’s Choice Theory’’ and ‘’Game Theory’’ in How to Synthesize Chemical Compounds - Juniper Publishers

 Petrochemical Science - Juniper Publishers



Abstract

Chemists have traditionally relied on experiments to gather data and analyze it in order to advance their understanding of chemistry. However, since the 1960s, computer methods have been developed to assist chemists in this process, leading to the emergence of a new discipline known as chemo-informatics. This field has found applications in various areas such as drug discovery, analytical chemistry, and material science. One approach that has gained momentum in recent years is the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in chemistry. AI has been employed for tasks such as predicting molecular properties, designing new molecules, and validating proposed retrosynthesis and reaction conditions. Its use has led to significant progress in drug discovery R&D by reducing costs and time-related problems. Despite these advancements, the concept of AI in chemistry remains relatively unexplored. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in chemistry has experienced significant growth in recent years. Both journal and patent publications have seen a substantial increase, particularly since 2015. Analytical chemistry and biochemistry have shown the greatest integration of AI, with the highest growth rates. In summary, this review provides a comprehensive overview of how AI has progressed in various fields of chemistry and aims to provide insight into its future directions for scholarly audiences.

Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Chemistry; Synthesis; Chemical Compounds; Glaser’s Choice Theory; Game Theory

Abbreviations: QSPR: Quantitative Structure Property; QSAR: Quantitative Structure Activity Relationships; ANN: Artificial Neural Networks; DNN: CASD: Deep Neural Networks; Computer-Assisted Synthesis Design; ML: Machine Learning; DL: Deep Learning; MDP: Markov Decision Processes; POSG: Partially Observable Stochastic Game

Introduction

When I was an undergraduate student, I always had problems with the synthesis of chemical compounds! I always wondered why we should preserve the method of synthesizing different materials somehow! This problem bothered me to the point that, at the time when the new generation of smart phones was beginning to emerge, it led me to the idea of finding a way to computerize the raw materials of chemical compounds to combine with each other and get the desired product. Actually, I was thinking of an algorithm! At that time, I still didn’t know anything about programming and data science; also, machine learning or artificial intelligence had not been so developed. My idea remained sterile until I met artificial intelligence; this is the beginning of a new era of chemistry!

Chemistry in Times of Artificial Intelligence

In 1956, John McCarthy coined the term “artificial intelligence” to refer to the branch of computer science concerned with machine learning processes that can perform tasks typically requiring human intelligence. This involves replicating human intelligence in machines, which has become a crucial aspect of the technology industry due to its ability to collect and analyze data at low cost while ensuring a safe working environment. Artificial intelligence has numerous applications, including natural language processing, reasoning, and strategic decision-making. It can also modify objects based on specific requirements. Artificial intelligence is not limited to engineering but also has many applications in the chemical field. It is useful for designing molecules and predicting their properties such as melting point, solubility, stability, HOMO/LUMO levels, and more. Additionally, artificial intelligence aids in drug discovery by determining molecular structures and their effects on chemicals. This process is time-consuming due to its multi-objective nature; however, artificial intelligence can expedite it by utilizing previously available datasets. In summary, artificial intelligence is a critical component of modern technology that enables machines to replicate human intelligence and perform complex tasks. Its applications extend beyond engineering into fields such as chemistry where it aids in drug discovery and molecular design.

This combination allows for the development of advanced water treatment systems that are highly efficient and effective in removing pollutants from water sources. By using nanotechnology, it is possible to create materials with unique properties that can selectively remove specific pollutants from water. Artificial intelligence can be used to optimize the performance of these materials and ensure that they are used in the most effective way possible. Furthermore, this technology can also be used to monitor water quality in real-time, allowing for early detection of potential contamination events. This is particularly important in areas where access to clean water is limited or where there are concerns about the safety of drinking water. Overall, the combination of artificial intelligence and nanotechnology has the potential to revolutionize the way we treat and manage our water resources. It offers a powerful tool for addressing some of the most pressing environmental challenges facing our society today.

Chemistry has experienced a significant increase in data, which coincided with the advent of powerful computer technology. This allowed for the use of computers to perform mathematical operations, such as those required for quantum mechanics, which is the foundation of chemistry. This deductive learning approach involves using a theory to produce data. However, it was also discovered that computers can be used for logical operations and software can be developed to process data and information, leading to inductive learning. For instance, understanding the biological activity of a compound requires knowledge of its structure. By analyzing multiple sets of structures and their corresponding biological activities, one can generalize and gain knowledge about the relationship between structure and biological activity. This field is known as chemoinformatics and emerged from computer methods developed in the 1960s for inductive learning in chemistry.

Initially, methods were developed to represent chemical structures and reactions in computer systems. Subsequently, chemometrics, a field that combined statistical and pattern recognition techniques, was introduced for inductive learning. These methods were applied to analyze data from analytical chemistry. However, chemists also sought to address complex questions such as:

1. Determining the necessary structure for a desired property;

2. Synthesizing the required structure;

3. Predicting the outcome of a reaction.

To predict properties quantitatively, researchers established quantitative structure property/activity relationships (QSPR and QSAR). Early efforts were made to develop computer-assisted synthesis design tools. Finally, automatic procedures for structure elucidation were needed to answer the third question.

Artificial Intelligence

Early on, it was recognized that developing systems for predicting properties, designing synthesis, and elucidating structures in chemistry would require significant conceptual work and advanced computer technology. Consequently, emerging methods from computer science were applied to chemistry, including those under the umbrella of artificial intelligence. Publications such as “Applications of Artificial Intelligence for Chemical Inference” emerged from the DENDRAL project at Stanford University, which aimed to predict compound structures from mass spectra. Despite collaboration between esteemed chemists and computer scientists and extensive development efforts, the DENDRAL project was eventually discontinued due to various reasons, including the waning reputation of artificial intelligence in the late 1970s.However, recent years have seen a resurgence of artificial intelligence in general and its application in chemistry in particular. This is due to several factors such as the availability of large amounts of data, increased computing power, and new methods for processing data. These methods are often referred to as “machine learning,” although there is no clear distinction between this term and artificial intelligence.

Databases

Initially, various computer-readable representations of chemical structures were explored for processing and building databases of chemical structures and reactions. Linear notations were preferred due to their conciseness but required a significant set of rules for encoding. However, with the rapid development of computer technology, storage space became more easily and cheaply available, enabling the coding of chemical structures in a manner that opened up many possibilities for structure processing and manipulation. Eventually, the representation of chemical structures by a connection table - lists of atoms and bonds - became the norm. This allows for atomic resolution representation of structure information and access to each bond in a molecule. Despite this shift, one linear code - SMILES notation - remains widely used due to its ease of conversion into a connection table and suitability for sharing chemical structure information online. A molecular structure can be viewed as a mathematical graph. To store and retrieve chemical structures appropriately, various graph theoretical problems had to be solved such as unique and unambiguous numbering of atoms in a molecule, ring perception, tautomer perception, etc. The use of connection tables enabled the development of methods for full structure, substructure, and similarity searching.

Prediction of Properties

This approach is known as quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) modeling. QSAR models have been successfully used to predict a wide range of properties, including toxicity, bioactivity, and physical properties such as solubility and melting point. Another approach to predicting properties is through the use of machine learning algorithms. These algorithms can analyze large amounts of data and identify patterns that can be used to make predictions. Machine learning has been applied to a variety of chemical problems, including drug discovery and materials design. Overall, the ability to predict chemical properties is essential for drug discovery, materials science, and many other fields. The development of methods for processing chemical structures and building databases has enabled the creation of powerful tools for predicting properties and accelerating scientific discovery (Figure 1).

This approach is known as Quantitative Structure Property/ Activity Relationship (QSPR, QSAR). Many different methods for the calculation of structure descriptors have been developed. They represent molecules with increasing detail: 1D, 2D, 3D descriptors, representations of molecular surface properties, and even taking account of molecular flexibility. Also, quite a variety of mathematical methods for modeling the relationship between the molecular descriptors and the property of a compound are available. These are the inductive learning methods and are sometimes subsumed by names like data analysis methods, machine learning, or data mining. They comprise methods like a simple multi-linear regression analysis, a variety of pattern recognition methods, random forests, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks. Artificial neural networks (ANN) try to model the information processing in the human brain and offer much potential for studying chemical data.

For establishing a relationship between the molecular descriptors and the property, values, so-called weights, have to be attributed to the connections between the neurons. This is most often achieved by the so-called backpropagation algorithm by repeatedly presenting pairs of molecular descriptors and their properties; these iterations quite often go into the ten-thousands and more. An ANN has the advantage that the mathematical relationship between the input units and the output need not be specified or known; it is implicitly laid down in the weights and can also comprise non-linear relationships. It was tempting to envisage that with artificial neural networks the field of artificial intelligence was awakening again. And in fact, in recent years terms like deep learning or deep neural networks have appeared in many fields including chemistry that provide a renaissance to the domain of artificial intelligence. A deep neural network (observe that the network has been rotated by 90 degrees compared to the one in Figure 2).

Deep neural networks (DNN) have some quite complex architectures with several hidden layers .This has the consequence that many weights for the connections have to be determined in order to avoid overfitting. Novel approaches and algorithms had to be developed to obtain networks that have true predictivity. Deep neural networks need a large amount of data for training in order to obtain truly predictive models. Most applications of DNN have been made in drug design and in analyzing reaction data (vide infra).

Reaction Prediction and Computer-Assisted Synthesis Design (CASD)

These new systems use machine learning algorithms and deep neural networks to predict reactions and suggest synthesis pathways. The accuracy of these systems has improved significantly, with some achieving success rates of over 90% in predicting reactions and suggesting synthetic routes. Such systems have the potential to revolutionize the field of organic synthesis by enabling chemists to design new molecules and synthesize them more efficiently. However, there are still challenges to overcome, such as the need for more comprehensive reaction databases and the development of more accurate machine learning models. Nonetheless, the progress made in recent years suggests that computer-assisted synthesis design will become an increasingly important tool for organic chemists in the future.

The development of computer-assisted synthesis design (CASD) systems has been hindered until recently due to limited reaction databases and search procedures. However, with the availability of large reaction databases and novel data processing algorithms, CASD systems have been developed using machine learning algorithms and deep neural networks to predict reactions and suggest synthesis pathways. These systems have achieved high success rates in predicting reactions and suggesting synthetic routes, with the potential to revolutionize organic synthesis. Nonetheless, challenges remain, such as the need for more comprehensive reaction databases and more accurate machine learning models. Methods for calculating values for concepts like synthetic accessibility or current complexity have also been developed to assist chemists in selecting molecules for further investigation. The combination of large reaction databases with novel data processing algorithms has matured CASD systems, making them a valuable tool for organic chemists in planning laboratory work.

Computer-assisted synthesis design (CASD) systems have recently emerged as a valuable tool for organic chemists, facilitated by the availability of large reaction databases and novel data processing algorithms. Machine learning algorithms and deep neural networks have been used to predict reactions and suggest synthesis pathways, achieving high success rates. However, challenges remain, such as the need for more comprehensive reaction databases and more accurate machine learning models. Methods for calculating values for concepts like synthetic accessibility or current complexity have also been developed to assist chemists in selecting molecules for further investigation. The combination of large reaction databases with novel data processing algorithms has matured CASD systems, making them a promising tool for planning laboratory work. In addition, the use of bioinformatics and chemoinformatics methods in combination has led to interesting insights in the study of biochemical pathways, including the identification of major pathways for periodontal disease and the derivation of flavor-forming pathways in cheese by lactic acid bacteria. Finally, novel artificial intelligence methods such as deep learning architectures are being applied to metabolic pathway prediction, offering exciting possibilities for pathway redesign.

Cosmetics Products Discovery

In recent years, chemoinformatics and bioinformatics methods that have established their value in drug discovery such as molecular modeling, structure-based design, molecular dynamics simulations and gene expression have also been utilized in the development of new cosmetics products. Thus, novel skin moisturizers and anti-aging compounds have been developed. Legislation has been passed in the European Union with the Cosmetics Directive that no chemicals are longer allowed to be added to cosmetics products that have been tested on animals. This has given a large push to the establishment of computer models for the prediction of toxicity of chemicals to be potentially included in cosmetics products.

Material Science

The prediction of the properties of materials is probably the most active area of chemoinformatics. The properties that are investigated range from properties of nanomaterials, materials from regenerative medicine, solar cells, homogeneous or heterogeneous catalysts, electrocatalysts, phase diagrams, ceramics, or the properties of supercritical solvents. Reviews have appeared. In most cases, the chemical structure of the material investigated is not known and therefore other types of descriptors have to be chosen to represent a material for a QSAR study. Materials could be represented by physical properties such as refractive index or melting point, spectra, the components or the conditions for the production of the material, etc. Use of chemoinformatics methods in material science are particularly opportune as in most cases the properties of interest depend on many parameters and cannot be directly calculated. A QSAR model would allow the design of new materials with the desired property.

Process Control

The problem of the detection of faults in chemical processes and process control have benefited quite early on from the application of artificial neural networks. An overall course on the application of artificial intelligence in process control has been developed by six European universities. Chemical processes rapidly generate a host of data on flow of chemicals, concentration, temperature, pressure, product distribution, etc. This data have to be used to recognize potential faults in the process and rapidly bring the process back to optimum. The relationships between the various data produced by sensors and the amount of desired product cannot be explicitly given, making it an ideal case for the application of powerful data modeling techniques. Quite a few excellent results have been obtained for such processes as Petrochemical or pharmaceutical processes, water treatment, agriculture, iron manufacture, exhaust gas denitration, distillation column operation, etc. (Figure 3).

Identification of Compounds with Genetic Algorithms

Bio-inspired computing involves the development of procedures that mimic mechanisms observed in natural environments. For example, genetic algorithms are inspired by Charles Darwin’s concept of evolution and use the principle of “survival of the fittest” to facilitate optimization. In this process, active compounds interbreed and mutate to produce new compounds with new properties. Compounds that show useful properties are selected for further synthesis, while those that do not have useful properties are ignored. After several generations, new functional compounds appear with inherited and acquired properties. This process requires accurate composition modeling, appropriate mutation methods, and robust fitness assessments that can be obtained computationally, reducing the need for expensive experiments. In genetic algorithms, each compositional or structural feature of a compound is considered a gene. Chemical genes include factors such as individual components, polymer block size, monomer compositions, and processing temperature. Genome contains all the genes of a combination, and the resulting properties are known as phenotypes. Genetic algorithms scan the search space of gene domains to identify the most suitable phenotypes based on a fitness function. The relationship between genome and phenotype creates a fitness perspective, as shown in the figure below for two hypothetical genes related to polymer synthesis processes aimed at high hardening rates. The fitness perspective is implicit in the problem model defined by gene domains and fitness function.

The genetic algorithm moves along the landscape generating new combinations while avoiding combinations that do not improve fitness. This mechanism increases the probability of achieving the desired properties. Bio-inspired computing involves mimicking natural mechanisms to develop optimization methods. Genetic algorithms, inspired by Charles Darwin’s concept of evolution, use the principle of “survival of the fittest” to create new combinations with new characteristics. Each trait is considered a combination of a gene, and the genome includes all the genes of a combination, resulting in a phenotype. Genetic algorithms scan the search space of gene domains to identify the most suitable phenotypes based on a fitness function. The relationship between genome and phenotype creates a fitness landscape that is implicit in the problem model defined by gene domains and fitness functions. This mechanism increases the probability of achieving the desired properties. The effectiveness of genetic algorithms has been shown in various fields, including catalyst optimization and material science (Figure 4).

Synthesis Prediction Using ML

The challenging task of synthesizing new compounds, particularly in organic chemistry, has led to the search for machine-based methods that can predict the molecules produced from a given set of reactants and reagents. Corey and Wipke’s 1969 approach used templates produced by expert chemists to define atom connectivity rearrangement under specific conditions. However, limited template sets prevented their method from encompassing a wide range of conditions. The use of templates or rules to transfer knowledge from human experts to computers has gained renewed interest due to the potential for automatic rule generation using big datasets, as seen in medicine and materials science. Machine learning methods, such as neural networks, have been successful in predicting retrosynthesis outcomes using large datasets. Deep learning appears to be the most promising approach for exploring large search spaces. Recent experiments using link prediction ML algorithms on a knowledge graph built from millions of binary reactions have shown high accuracy in predicting products and detecting unlikely reactions (Figure 5).

The Corresponding Template Includes the Reaction Center and Nearby Functional Groups

Reproduced from the search for machine-based methods to predict the molecules produced from a given set of reactants and reagents in organic chemistry has led to the use of templates and rules to transfer knowledge from human experts to computers. However, limited template sets have prevented these methods from encompassing a wide range of conditions. Recent experiments using machine learning (ML) methods, such as neural networks and deep learning (DL), have shown high accuracy in predicting products and detecting unlikely reactions. DL appears to be the most promising approach for exploring large search spaces and has been used to predict outcomes of chemical reactions by assimilating latent patterns for generalizing out of a pool of examples. The SMILES chemical language has been employed in DL models to represent molecular structures as graphs and strings amenable to computational processing. DNNs have been used to predict reactions with superior performance compared to previous rule-based expert systems, achieving an accuracy of 97% on a validation set of 1 million reactions. Additionally, DNNs have been used to map discrete molecules into a continuous multidimensional space, where it is possible to predict properties of existing vectors and predict new vectors with certain properties. Optimization techniques can then be employed to search for the best candidate molecules.

Learning from data has always been a cornerstone of chemical research. In the last sixty years computer methods have been introduced in chemistry to convert data into information and then derive knowledge from this information. This has led to the establishment of the field of chemoinformatics that has undergone impressive developments over the last 60 years and found applications in most areas of chemistry from drug design to material science. Artificial intelligence techniques have recently seen a rebirth in chemistry and will have to be optimized to also allow us to understand the basic foundations of chemical data. This review examines the growth and distribution of AI-related chemistry publications over the past two decades using the CAS Content Collection.

The volume of journal and patent publications has increased significantly, particularly since 2015. Analytical chemistry and biochemistry have integrated AI to the greatest extent and with the highest growth rates. Interdisciplinary research trends were also identified, along with emerging associations of AI with certain chemistry research topics. Notable publications in various chemistry disciplines were evaluated to highlight emerging use cases. The occurrence of different classes of substances and their roles in AI-related chemistry research were quantified, detailing the popularity of AI adoption in life sciences and analytical chemistry. AI can be applied to various tasks in chemistry, where complex relationships are often present in data sets. AI implementations have dramatically reduced design and experimental effort by enabling laboratory automation, predicting bioactivities of new drugs, optimizing reaction conditions, and suggesting synthetic routes to complex target molecules. This review contextualizes the current AI landscape in chemistry, providing an understanding of its future directions (Figure 6).

This review analyzes the growth and distribution of AIrelated chemistry publications over the past two decades using the CAS content collection. The volume of journal publications and patents has increased significantly since 2015 in particular, as analytical chemistry and biochemistry have integrated artificial intelligence with the largest amount and the highest growth rate. Interdisciplinary research trends were identified, along with emerging connections of artificial intelligence to specific chemistry research topics. Significant publications in various chemistry disciplines were evaluated to highlight emerging applications. The popularity of artificial intelligence adoption in life sciences and analytical chemistry was determined by examining the occurrence of different classes of materials and their role in artificial intelligence-related chemistry research. Artificial intelligence has reduced experimental design and effort by enabling laboratory automation, predicting the bioactivities of new drugs, optimizing reaction conditions, and suggesting synthetic routes to complex target molecules. This review examines the current landscape of artificial intelligence in chemistry and provides insight into its future directions. The CAS content corpus was searched to identify publications related to artificial intelligence from 2000 to 2020 based on various artificial intelligence terms in the title, keywords, abstract text, and concepts selected by CAS experts. Approximately 70,000 journal publications and 17,500 patents from the CAS content collection were identified as related to AI. The number of journal publications and patents increased over time and showed similar fast-growing trends after 2015. The proportion of research related to artificial intelligence is increasing, indicating an absolute increase in research efforts for artificial intelligence in chemistry.

This review analyzes the growth and distribution of AI-related chemistry publications over the past two decades using the CAS Content Collection. The volume of journal and patent publications has significantly increased, especially since 2015, with analytical chemistry and biochemistry integrating AI to the greatest extent and with the highest growth rates. Interdisciplinary research trends were identified, along with emerging associations of AI with specific chemistry research topics. Notable publications in various chemistry disciplines were evaluated to highlight emerging use cases. The popularity of AI adoption in life sciences and analytical chemistry was quantified by examining the occurrence of different classes of substances and their roles in AI-related chemistry research. AI has reduced design and experimental effort by enabling laboratory automation, predicting bioactivities of new drugs, optimizing reaction conditions, and suggesting synthetic routes to complex target molecules. This review contextualizes the current AI landscape in chemistry and provides an understanding of its future directions. The CAS Content Collection was searched to identify AI-related publications from 2000 to 2020 based on various AI terms in their title, keywords, abstract text, and CAS expert-curated concepts. Roughly 70,000 journal publications and 17,500 patents from the CAS Content Collection were identified as related to AI. The numbers of both journal and patent publications increased with time, showing similar rapidly growing trends after 2015. The proportion of AI-related research is increasing, suggesting an absolute increase in research effort toward AI in chemistry (Figure 7).

Here, the growth and distribution of AI-related chemistry publications over the past two decades is reviewed using the CAS content collection. The volume of journal publications and patents has increased significantly, especially since 2015, with analytical chemistry and biochemistry incorporating AI the most and with the highest growth rates. Interdisciplinary research trends were identified, along with emerging connections of artificial intelligence to specific chemistry research topics. Significant publications in various chemistry disciplines were evaluated to highlight emerging applications. The popularity of artificial intelligence adoption in life sciences and analytical chemistry was determined by examining the occurrence of different classes of materials and their role in artificial intelligence-related chemistry research. Artificial intelligence has reduced experimental design and effort by enabling laboratory automation, predicting the bioactivities of new drugs, optimizing reaction conditions, and suggesting synthetic routes to complex target molecules. This review examines the current landscape of artificial intelligence in chemistry and provides insight into its future directions. Then the countries/regions and organizations of origin of AIrelated chemistry documents were extracted to determine their distribution. China and the United States had the highest number of publications for both journal articles and patents. Medical diagnostics developers and technology companies make up a large portion of commercial licensees for chemical AI research. Publication trends in specific research areas were also analyzed, and analytical chemistry had the highest normalized volume in recent years. Energy technology and environmental chemistry and industrial chemistry and chemical engineering are also growing fields in terms of research related to artificial intelligence. Biochemistry is heavily featured in AI-related patent publications, likely due to its use in drug research and development.

This article examines the growth and distribution of AI-related chemistry publications using the CAS Content Collection over the past two decades. The volume of journal and patent publications has significantly increased, particularly since 2015, with analytical chemistry and biochemistry integrating AI to the greatest extent and with the highest growth rates. Interdisciplinary research trends were identified, along with emerging associations of AI with specific chemistry research topics. Notable publications in various chemistry disciplines were evaluated to highlight emerging use cases. The popularity of AI adoption in life sciences and analytical chemistry was quantified by examining the occurrence of different classes of substances and their roles in AI-related chemistry research. AI has reduced design and experimental effort by enabling laboratory automation, predicting bioactivities of new drugs, optimizing reaction conditions, and suggesting synthetic routes to complex target molecules.

This review contextualizes the current AI landscape in chemistry and provides an understanding of its future directions. The countries/regions and organizations of origin for AI-related chemistry documents were then extracted to determine their distributions. China and the United States contributed the largest numbers of publications for both journal articles and patents. Medical diagnostic developers and technology companies make up a large portion of the commercial patent assignees for AI chemical research. Trends of publications in specific research areas were also analyzed, with Analytical Chemistry having the highest normalized volume in recent years. Energy Technology and Environmental Chemistry and Industrial Chemistry and Chemical Engineering are also growing fields in terms of AIrelated research. Biochemistry is highly represented in AI-related patent publications, possibly due to its use in drug research and development. Interdisciplinary relationships do appear in AIrelated chemistry research, demonstrating how AI can be applied in research areas where the relationships between available data in separate domains are not obvious to researchers (Figure 8).

Difference in proportion of total AI-related publications and control group (non-AI related) by interdisciplinary pair: (A) journal publications and (B) patent publications. The distribution of AI-related research in chemistry can be analyzed by examining the number of papers related to different classes of materials. Overcoming challenges in material representation and data availability is critical to implementing artificial intelligence in chemistry. Therefore, identifying the most common types of materials studied in the literature can indicate areas where researchers have successfully addressed these challenges. CAS classifies materials into several classes, and the figure below shows the number of AI-related journal publications for common material classes, including alloy, coordinated compound, element, hand register, ring parent, small molecule, polymer, salt, and inorganic compound. Gives. Publications containing Small Molecule materials have the largest number, followed by publications containing Element and Manual Registration materials. This trend is probably due to the relative simplicity and ease of modeling of these materials compared to Coordination Compound and Polymer. The high number of documents containing manual recording material corresponds to the high volume of publications in biochemistry. The figure below also shows the total number of materials in AI-related journal publications for each material class. The process in substance counting is similar to document counting, although skewed by the higher number of small molecule substances in each document (Figure 9).

The popularity of AI applications in chemistry has grown rapidly in recent years, with some fields further along in adoption than others. The success of AI implementation is linked to the availability and quality of data, as well as opportunities for gaining insights and automating repetitive tasks. Analytical chemistry and biochemistry have seen significant AI deployment due to the availability of large training sets and data for macromolecules. The popularity of AI applications in drug discovery is reflected in the large number of publications involving small molecules. The increased availability of software and hardware tools, research area-specific data sets, and researcher expertise have contributed to the growth of AI in chemistry. While AI has been successfully adapted to many areas of chemical research, there are still areas where its impact has yet to be felt. With continued improvements in AI and interdisciplinary research, these areas may see increased adoption in the future.

Glasser’s Choice Theory

Choice theory posits that the behaviors we choose are central to our existence. Our behavior (choices) is driven by five genetically driven needs in hierarchical order: survival, love, power, freedom, and fun. The most basic human needs are survival (physical component) and love (mental component). Without physical (nurturing) and emotional (love), an infant will not survive to attain power, freedom, and fun.

“No matter how well-nourished and intellectually stimulated a child is, going without human touch can stunt his mental, emotional, and even physical growth”.

Choice theory suggests the existence of a “quality world.” The idea of a “quality world” in choice theory has been compared to Jungian archetypes, but Glasser’s acknowledgement of this connection is unclear. Some argue that Glasser’s “quality world” and what Jung would call healthy archetypes share similarities. Our “quality world” images are our role models of an individual’s “perfect” world of parents, relations, possessions, beliefs, etc. How each person’s “quality world” is somewhat unusual, even in the same family of origin, is taken for granted.

Starting from birth and continuing throughout our lives, each person places significant role models, significant possessions, and significant systems of belief (religion, cultural values, icons, etc.) into a mostly unconscious framework Glasser called our “quality world”. The issue of negative role models and stereotypes is not extensively discussed in choice theory. Glasser also posits a “comparing place,” where we compare and contrast our perceptions of people, places, and things immediately in front of us against our ideal images (archetypes) of these in our Quality World framework. Our subconscious pushes us towards calibrating-as best we can-our real-world experience with our quality world (archetypes). Behavior (“total behavior” in Glasser’s terms) is made up of these four components: acting, thinking, feeling, and physiology. Glasser suggests we have considerable control or choice over the first two of these, yet little ability to directly choose the latter two as they are more deeply sub- and unconscious. These four components remain closely intertwined, and the choices we make in our thinking and acting will greatly affect our feelings and physiology.

Glasser frequently emphasizes that failed or strained relationships with significant individuals can contribute to personal unhappiness. Spouses, parents, children, friends, and colleagues. The symptoms of unhappiness are widely variable and are often seen as mental illnesses. Glasser believed that “pleasure” and “happiness” are related but far from synonymous. Sex, for example, is a “pleasure” but may well be divorced from a “satisfactory relationship,” which is a precondition for lasting “happiness” in life. Hence the intense focus on the improvement of relationships in counseling with choice theory-the “new reality therapy”. Individuals who are familiar with both reality therapy and choice theory may have a preference for the latter, which is considered a more modern approach. According to choice theory, mental illness can be linked to personal unhappiness. Glasser champions how we are able to learn and choose alternate behaviors that result in greater personal satisfaction. Reality therapy is a choice theory-based counseling process focused on helping clients learn to make those self-optimizing choices [1].

The Ten Axioms of Choice

a. The only person whose behavior we can control is ourselves.

b. All we can give another person is information.

c. All long-lasting psychological problems are relationship problems.

d. The problem relationship is always part of our present life.

e. What happened in the past has everything to do with who we are today, but we can only satisfy our basic needs right now and plan to continue satisfying them in the future.

f. We can only satisfy our needs by satisfying the pictures in our quality world.

g. All we do is behave.

h. All behavior is total behavior and is made up of four components: acting, thinking, feeling, and physiology.

i. All of our total behavior is chosen, but we only have direct control over the acting and thinking components. We can only control our feelings and physiology indirectly through how we choose to act and think.

j. All total behavior is designated by verbs and named by the part that is the most recognizable.

In Classroom Management

William Glasser’s choice theory begins: Behavior is not separate from choice; we all choose how to behave at any time. Second, we cannot control anyone’s behavior but our own. Glasser emphasized the importance of classroom meetings as a means to improve communication and solve classroom problems. Glasser suggested that teachers should assist students in envisioning a fulfilling school experience and planning the choices that would enable them to achieve it. For example, Johnny Waits is an 18-year-old high school senior and plans on attending college to become a computer programmer. Glasser suggests that Johnny could be learning as much as he can about computers instead of reading Plato. Glasser proposed a curriculum approach that emphasizes practical, real-world topics chosen by students based on their interests and inclinations. This approach is referred to as the quality curriculum. The quality curriculum places particular emphasis on topics that have practical career applications. According to Glasser’s approach, teachers facilitate discussions with students to identify topics they are interested in exploring further when introducing new material. In line with Glasser’s approach, students are expected to articulate the practical value of the material they choose to explore[2].

Education

Glasser did not endorse Summerhill, and the quality schools he oversaw typically had conventional curriculum topics. The main innovation of these schools was a deeper, more humanistic approach to the group process between teachers, students, and learning.

Critiques

In a book review, [3] Christopher White writes that Glasser believes everything in the DSM-IV-TR is a result of an individual’s brain creatively expressing its unhappiness. White also notes that Glasser criticizes the psychiatric profession and questions the effectiveness of medications in treating mental illness. White points out that the book does not provide a set of randomized clinical trials demonstrating the success of Glasser’s teachings.

Quality of World

The Quality Realm is central to William Glasser’s views. A person’s values and priorities are represented in the brain as mental images in a space called the Superior Realm. Photographs of significant people, locations, ideas, and convictions could be filed away in their minds. According to Glasser, the pictures in a human’s Supreme bring them joy and fulfill some fundamental needs. Such images are personal and not subject to any societal norm checking. The Quality Planet is our ideal utopia.

Working of Glasser’s Choice Theory

Clients’ emotions and physiological reactions to stress may be improved via habitual and cognitive modification instruction. The educational field is a perfect illustration of this. Disappointed pupils who are unable to master particular ideas as well as acquire particular talents may be instructed to rethink what they consider a high-quality universe. Some changes can be implemented to emphasize the company’s history of problematic habits and encourage them to identify and address the underlying causes of that habit to prevent a recurrence. An essay on Schema Therapy states that both Theory and its subset, Reality Psychotherapy, do not focus on the past. Customers are urged to live in the now. They encourage people to consider alterations to their routine that could bring about more satisfying outcomes.

Conclusion of session Glasser’s Choice Theory

Glasser’s original version of the Choice Theory posits that at our most fundamental level, choices are made to satisfy a set of requirements. It is hypothesized that people want to choose the option they believe would be best for them, which does not imply that bad judgments will not have negative results. It has been shown, meanwhile, that Psychodynamic Approach may aid individuals in developing more effective approaches to managing issues. Choice Theory originates in traditional habits and has contributed greatly too many academic disciplines.

Game Theory

Game theory is the study of mathematical models of strategic interactions among rational agents. [1]It has applications in all fields of social science, as well as in logic, systems science and computer science. The concepts of game theory are used extensively in economics as well. [2] The traditional methods of game theory addressed two-person zero-sum games, in which each participant’s gains or losses are exactly balanced by the losses and gains of other participants. In the 21st century, the advanced game theories apply to a wider range of behavioral relations; it is now an umbrella term for the science of logical decision making in humans, animals, as well as computers.

Modern game theory began with the idea of mixed-strategy equilibria in two-person zero-sum game and its proof by John von Neumann. Von Neumann’s original proof used the Brouwer fixed-point theorem on continuous mappings into compact convex sets, which became a standard method in game theory and mathematical economics. His paper was followed by the 1944 book Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, co-written with Oskar Morgenstern, which considered cooperative games of several players. [3] The second edition of this book provided an axiomatic theory of expected utility, which allowed mathematical statisticians and economists to treat decision-making under uncertainty. Therefore, it is evident that game theory has evolved over time with consistent efforts of mathematicians, economists and other academicians. Game theory was developed extensively in the 1950s by many scholars. It was explicitly applied to evolution in the 1970s, although similar developments go back at least as far as the 1930s. Game theory has been widely recognized as an important tool in many fields. As of 2020, with the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences going to game theorists Paul Milgrom and Robert B. Wilson, fifteen game theorists have won the economics Nobel Prize. John Maynard Smith was awarded the Crafoord Prize for his application of evolutionary game theory [4- 12].

Different types of Games

Cooperative / Non-Cooperative

A game is cooperative if the players are able to form binding commitments externally enforced (e.g. through contract law). A game is non-cooperative if players cannot form alliances or if all agreements need to be self-enforcing (e.g., through credible threats). [13] Cooperative games are often analyzed through the framework of cooperative game theory, which focuses on predicting which coalitions will form, the joint actions that groups take, and the resulting collective payoffs. It is opposed to the traditional non-cooperative game theory which focuses on predicting individual players’ actions and payoffs and analyzing Nash equilibria.[14,15] The focus on individual payoff can result in a phenomenon known as Tragedy of the Commons, where resources are used to a collectively inefficient level. The lack of formal negotiation leads to the deterioration of public goods through over-use and under provision that stems from private incentives. [16]Cooperative game theory provides a high-level approach as it describes only the structure, strategies, and payoffs of coalitions, whereas non-cooperative game theory also looks at how bargaining procedures will affect the distribution of payoffs within each coalition.

As non-cooperative game theory is more general, cooperative games can be analyzed through the approach of non-cooperative game theory (the converse does not hold) provided that sufficient assumptions are made to encompass all the possible strategies available to players due to the possibility of external enforcement of cooperation. While using a single theory may be desirable, in many instances insufficient information is available to accurately model the formal procedures available during the strategic bargaining process, or the resulting model would be too complex to offer a practical tool in the real world. In such cases, cooperative game theory provides a simplified approach that allows analysis of the game at large without having to make any assumption about bargaining powers.

Symmetric / Asymmetric

A symmetric game is a game where the payoffs for playing a particular strategy depend only on the other strategies employed, not on who is playing them. That is, if the identities of the players can be changed without changing the payoff to the strategies, then a game is symmetric. Many of the commonly studied 2×2 games are symmetric. The standard representations of chicken, the prisoner’s dilemma, and the stag hunt are all symmetric games. Some scholars would consider certain asymmetric games as examples of these games as well. However, the most common payoffs for each of these games are symmetric. The most commonly studied asymmetric games are games where there are not identical strategy sets for both players. For instance, the ultimatum game and similarly the dictator game have different strategies for each player. It is possible, however, for a game to have identical strategies for both players yet be asymmetric. For example, the game pictured in this section’s graphic is asymmetric despite having identical strategy sets for both players (Table 1).

Zero-Sum / Non-Zero-Sum

Zero-sum games (more generally, constant-sum games) are games in which choices by players can neither increase nor decrease the available resources. In zero-sum games, the total benefit goes to all players in a game, for every combination of strategies, always adds to zero (more informally, a player benefits only at the equal expense of others). [17] Poker exemplifies a zero-sum game (ignoring the possibility of the house’s cut), because one wins exactly the amount one’s opponents lose. Other zero-sum games include matching pennies and most classical board games include Go and chess (Table 2).Many games studied by game theorists (including the famed prisoner’s dilemma) are non-zero-sum games, because the outcome has net results greater or less than zero. Informally, in non-zero-sum games, a gain by one player does not necessarily correspond with a loss by another. Constant-sum games correspond to activities like theft and gambling, but not to the fundamental economic situation in which there are potential gains from trade. It is possible to transform any constant-sum game into a (possibly asymmetric) zero-sum game by adding a dummy player (often called “the board”) whose losses compensate the players’ net winnings.

Simultaneous / Sequential

Simultaneous games are games where both players move simultaneously, or instead the later players are unaware of the earlier players’ actions (making them effectively simultaneous). Sequential games (or dynamic games) are games where players do not make decisions simultaneously, and the player’s earlier actions affect the outcome and decisions of other players. [18] This need not be perfect information about every action of earlier players; it might be very little knowledge. For instance, a player may know that an earlier player did not perform one particular action, while they do not know which of the other available actions the first player actually performed. The difference between simultaneous and sequential games is captured in the different representations discussed above. Often, normal form is used to represent simultaneous games, while extensive form is used to represent sequential ones. The transformation of extensive to normal form is one way, meaning that multiple extensive form games correspond to the same normal form. Consequently, notions of equilibrium for simultaneous games are insufficient for reasoning about sequential games.

Perfect Information and Imperfect Information

A game of imperfect information. The dotted line represents ignorance on the part of player 2, formally called an information set. An important subset of sequential games consists of games of perfect information. A game with perfect information means that all players, at every move in the game, know the previous history of the game and the moves previously made by all other players. In reality, this can be applied to firms and consumers having information about the price and quality of all the available goods in a market. [19] An imperfect information game is played when the players do not know all moves already made by the opponent such as a simultaneous move game.[20] Most games studied in game theory are imperfect-information games.[citation needed] Examples of perfect-information games include tic-tactoe, checkers, chess, and go [21-23]. Many card games are games of imperfect information, such as poker and bridge.[24] Perfect information is often confused with complete information, which is a similar concept pertaining to the common knowledge of each player’s sequence, strategies, and payoffs throughout gameplay. [25] Complete information requires that every player know the strategies and payoffs available to the other players but not necessarily the actions taken, whereas perfect information is knowledge of all aspects of the game and players.[26] Games of incomplete information can be reduced, however, to games of imperfect information by introducing “moves by nature”.[27].

Bayesian Game

One of the assumptions of the Nash equilibrium is that every player has correct beliefs about the actions of the other players. However, there are many situations in game theory where participants do not fully understand the characteristics of their opponents. Negotiators may be unaware of their opponent’s valuation of the object of negotiation, companies may be unaware of their opponent’s cost functions, combatants may be unaware of their opponent’s strengths, and jurors may be unaware of their colleague’s interpretation of the evidence at trial. In some cases, participants may know the character of their opponent well, but may not know how well their opponent knows his or her own character. Bayesian game means a strategic game with incomplete information. For a strategic game, decision makers are players, and every player has a group of actions. A core part of the imperfect information specification is the set of states. Every state completely describes a collection of characteristics relevant to the player such as their preferences and details about them. There must be a state for every set of features that some players believe may exist.

Example of a Bayesian game

For example, where Player 1 is unsure whether Player 2 would rather date her or get away from her, while Player 2 understands Player 1’s preferences as before. To be specific, supposing that Player 1 believes that Player 2 wants to date her under a probability of 1/2 and get away from her under a probability of 1/2 (this evaluation comes from Player 1’s experience probably: she faces players who want to date her half of the time in such a case and players who want to avoid her half of the time). Due to the probability involved, the analysis of this situation requires understanding the player’s preference for the draw, even though people are only interested in pure strategic equilibrium.

Combinatorial Games

Games in which the difficulty of finding an optimal strategy stems from the multiplicity of possible moves are called combinatorial games. Examples include chess and go. Games that involve imperfect information may also have a strong combinatorial character, for instance backgammon. There is no unified theory addressing combinatorial elements in games. There are, however, mathematical tools that can solve some particular problems and answer some general questions. Games of perfect information have been studied in combinatorial game theory, which has developed novel representations, e.g., surreal numbers, as well as combinatorial and algebraic (and sometimes non-constructive) proof methods to solve games of certain types, including “loopy” games that may result in infinitely long sequences of moves. These methods address games with higher combinatorial complexity than those usually considered in traditional (or “economic”) game theory.[31,32] A typical game that has been solved this way is Hex. A related field of study, drawing from computational complexity theory, is game complexity, which is concerned with estimating the computational difficulty of finding optimal strategies. Research in artificial intelligence has addressed both perfect and imperfect information games that have very complex combinatorial structures (like chess, go, or backgammon) for which no provable optimal strategies have been found. The practical solutions involve computational heuristics, like alpha-beta pruning or use of artificial neural networks trained by reinforcement learning, which make games more tractable in computing practice.

Infinitely Long Games

Games, as studied by economists and real-world game players, are generally finished in finitely many moves. Pure mathematicians are not so constrained and set theorists in particular study games that last for infinitely many moves, with the winner (or other payoff) not known until after all those moves are completed. The focus of attention is usually not so much on the best way to play such a game, but whether one player has a winning strategy. (It can be proven, using the axiom of choice, that there are games - even with perfect information and where the only outcomes are “win” or “lose” - for which neither player has a winning strategy.) The existence of such strategies, for cleverly designed games, has important consequences in descriptive set theory.

Discrete and Continuous Games

Much of game theory is concerned with finite, discrete games that have a finite number of players, moves, events, outcomes, etc. Many concepts can be extended, however. Continuous games allow players to choose a strategy from a continuous strategy set. For instance, Cournot competition is typically modeled with players’ strategies being any non-negative quantities, including fractional quantities. Continuous games allow the possibility for players to communicate with each other under certain rules, primarily the enforcement of a communication protocol between the players. By communicating, players have been noted to be willing to provide a larger amount of goods in a public good game than they ordinarily would in a discrete game, and as a result, the players are able to manage resources more efficiently than they would in discrete games, as they share resources, ideas and strategies with one another. This incentivizes, and causes, continuous games to have a higher median cooperation rate. [35].

Differential Games

Differential games such as the continuous pursuit and evasion game are continuous games where the evolution of the players’ state variables is governed by differential equations. The problem of finding an optimal strategy in a differential game is closely related to the optimal control theory. In particular, there are two types of strategies: the open-loop strategies are found using the Pontryagin maximum principle while the closed-loop strategies are found using Bellman’s Dynamic Programming method. A particular case of differential games are the games with a random time horizon.[36] In such games, the terminal time is a random variable with a given probability distribution function. Therefore, the players maximize the mathematical expectation of the cost function. It was shown that the modified optimization problem can be reformulated as a discounted differential game over an infinite time interval.

Evolutionary Game Theory

Evolutionary game theory studies players who adjust their strategies over time according to rules that are not necessarily rational or farsighted.[37] In general, the evolution of strategies over time according to such rules is modeled as a Markov chain with a state variable such as the current strategy profile or how the game has been played in the recent past. Such rules may feature imitation, optimization, or survival of the fittest. In biology, such models can represent evolution, in which offspring adopt their parents’ strategies and parents who play more successful strategies (i.e., corresponding to higher payoffs) have a greater number of offspring. In the social sciences, such models typically represent strategic adjustment by players who play a game many times within their lifetime and, consciously or unconsciously, occasionally adjust their strategies. [38].

Stochastic Outcomes (And Relation to other Fields)

Individual decision problems with stochastic outcomes are sometimes considered “one-player games”. They may be modeled using similar tools within the related disciplines of decision theory, operations research, and areas of artificial intelligence, particularly AI planning (with uncertainty) and multi-agent system. Although these fields may have different motivators, the mathematics involved are substantially the same, e.g., using Markov decision processes (MDP).[39] Stochastic outcomes can also be modeled in terms of game theory by adding a randomly acting player who makes “chance moves” (“moves by nature”). [40] This player is not typically considered a third player in what is otherwise a two-player game, but merely serves to provide a roll of the dice where required by the game.

For some problems, different approaches to modeling stochastic outcomes may lead to different solutions. For example, the difference in approach between MDPs and the minimax solution is that the latter considers the worst-case over a set of adversarial moves, rather than reasoning in expectation about these moves given a fixed probability distribution. The minimax approach may be advantageous where stochastic models of uncertainty are not available but may also be overestimating extremely unlikely (but costly) events, dramatically swaying the strategy in such scenarios if it is assumed that an adversary can force such an event to happen. General models that include all elements of stochastic outcomes, adversaries, and partial or noisy observability (of moves by other players) have also been studied. The “gold standard” is considered to be partially observable in stochastic game (POSG), but few realistic problems are computationally feasible in POSG representation.

Metagames

These are games the play of which is the development of the rules for another game, the target or subject game. Metagames seek to maximize the utility value of the rule set developed. The theory of metagames is related to mechanism design theory. The term metagame analysis is also used to refer to a practical approach developed by Nigel Howard, whereby a situation is framed as a strategic game in which stakeholders try to realize their objectives by means of the options available to them. Subsequent developments have led to the formulation of confrontation analysis.

Pooling Games

These are games prevailing over all forms of society. Pooling games are repeated plays with changing payoff table in general over an experienced path, and their equilibrium strategies usually take a form of evolutionary social convention and economic convention. Pooling game theory emerges to formally recognize the interaction between optimal choice in one play and the emergence of forthcoming payoff table update path, identify the invariance existence and robustness, and predict variance over time. The theory is based upon topological transformation classification of payoff table update over time to predict variance and invariance and is also within the jurisdiction of the computational law of reachable optimality for ordered system.

Mean Field Game Theory

Mean field game theory is the study of strategic decision making in very large populations of small interacting agents. This class of problems was considered in the economics literature by Boyan Jovanovic and Robert W. Rosenthal, in the engineering literature by Peter E. Caines, and by mathematicians Pierre-Louis Lions and Jean-Michel Lasry.

Representation of Games

The games studied in game theory are well-defined mathematical objects. To be fully defined, a game must specify the following elements: the players of the game, the information and actions available to each player at each decision point, and the payoffs for each outcome. (Eric Rasmusen refers to these four “essential elements” by the acronym “PAPI”.) A game theorist typically uses these elements, along with a solution concept of their choosing, to deduce a set of equilibrium strategies for each player such that, when these strategies are employed, no player can profit by unilaterally deviating from their strategy. These equilibrium strategies determine an equilibrium to the game-a stable state in which either one outcome occurs or a set of outcomes occur with known probability.

In games, players typically have a ‘Dominant Strategy’, where they are incentivised to choose the best possible strategy that gives them the maximum payoff and stick to it even when the other player/s change their strategies or choose a different option. However, depending on the possible payoffs, one of the players may not possess a ‘Dominant Strategy, while the other player might. A player not having a dominant strategy is not a confirmation that another player won’t have a dominant strategy of their own, which puts the first player at an immediate disadvantage. However, there is the chance of both player’s possessing Dominant Strategies, when their chosen strategies and their payoffs are dominant, and the combined payoffs form an equilibrium. When this occurs, it creates a Dominant Strategy Equilibrium. This can be because of a Social Dilemma, where a game possesses an equilibrium created by two or multiple players who all have dominant strategies, and the game’s solution is different to what the cooperative solution to the game would have been.

There is also the chance of a player having more than one dominant strategy. This occurs when reacting to multiple strategies from a second player, and the first player’s separate responses having different strategies to each other. This means that there is no chance of a Nash Equilibrium occurring within the game. Most cooperative games are presented in the characteristic function form, while the extensive and the normal forms are used to define noncooperative games.

Extensive Form

The extensive form can be used to formalize games with a time sequencing of moves. Extensive form games can be visualized using game trees (as pictured here). Here each vertex (or node) represents a point of choice for a player. The player is specified by a number listed by the vertex. The lines out of the vertex represent a possible action for that player. The payoffs are specified at the bottom of the tree. The extensive form can be viewed as a multi-player generalization of a decision tree.[50-60] To solve any extensive form game, backward induction must be used. It involves working backward up the game tree to determine what a rational player would do at the last vertex of the tree, what the player with the previous move would do given that the player with the last move is rational, and so on until the first vertex of the tree is reached. The game pictured consists of two players.

The way this particular game is structured (i.e., with sequential decision making and perfect information), Player 1 “moves” first by choosing either F or U (fair or unfair). Next in the sequence, Player 2, who has now observed Player 1’s move, can choose to play either A or R. Once Player 2 has made their choice, the game is considered finished and each player gets their respective payoff, represented in the image as two numbers, where the first number represents Player 1’s payoff, and the second number represents Player 2’s payoff. Suppose that Player 1 chooses U and then Player 2 chooses A: Player 1 then gets a payoff of “eight” (which in realworld terms can be interpreted in many ways, the simplest of which is in terms of money but could mean things such as eight days of vacation or eight countries conquered or even eight more opportunities to play the same game against other players) and Player 2 gets a payoff of “two”. The extensive form can also capture simultaneous-move games and games with imperfect information. To represent it, either a dotted line connects different vertices to represent them as being part of the same information set (i.e., the players do not know at which point they are), or a closed line is drawn around them [60-70].

Normal Form

The normal (or strategic form) game is usually represented by a matrix which shows the players, strategies, and payoffs (see the example to the right). More generally it can be represented by any function that associates a payoff for each player with every possible combination of actions. In the accompanying example there are two players; one chooses the row and the other chooses the column. Each player has two strategies, which are specified by the number of rows and the number of columns. The payoffs are provided in the interior. The first number is the payoff received by the row player (Player 1 in our example); the second is the payoff for the column player (Player 2 in our example). Suppose that Player 1 plays up and that Player 2 plays Left. Then Player 1 gets a payoff of 4, and Player 2 gets 3 [70-90] (Table 3).

When a game is presented in normal form, it is presumed that each player acts simultaneously or, at least, without knowing the actions of the other. If players have some information about the choices of other players, the game is usually presented in extensive form. Every extensive-form game has an equivalent normal-form game, however, the transformation to normal form may result in an exponential blowup in the size of the representation, making it computationally impractical.

Chemical game theory is an alternative model of game theory that represents and solves problems in strategic interactions or contested human decision making. Differences with traditional game theory concepts include the use of metaphorical molecules called “knowlecules”, which represent choices and decisions among players in the game. Using knowlecules, entropic choices and the effects of preexisting biases are taken into consideration.

A game in chemical game theory is then represented in the form of a process flow diagram consisting of unit operations. The unit operations represent the decision-making processes of the players and have similarities to the garbage can model of political science. A game of N players, N being any integer greater than 1, is represented by N reactors in parallel. The concentrations that enter a reactor correspond to the bias that a player enters the game with. The reactions occurring in the reactors are comparable to the decision-making process of each player. The concentrations of the final products represent the likelihood of each outcome given the preexisting biases and pains for the situation [91-100].

Now that finally enough has been explained about the theory of games, I want to state the fact in simple words that it is actually possible to produce chemical compounds using artificial intelligence and good strategies such as game theory and selection theory. Easier and faster. The main thing that should be noted is that with this method, reaching the final answer, especially in the production of pharmaceutical products, is much simpler, more accurate, and faster.


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